Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions
The Atlanta Hawks (11-10) travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers (9-14). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Hawks will be entering this match having won six of their last seven. Atlanta has been hot lately behind improved play from G Trae Young and F John Collins.
However, the road hasn't been kind to them, just 3-8 away from Phillips Arena. Similar can be said for the Pacers, who are 3-10 away from Gainbridge but 6-4 at home.
Home court appears to play a big advantage for both sides. The Pacers are led by F Caris LeVert and F Domantas Sabonis among several other talented players. Indiana is 4-6 over its last 10.
Atlanta is 9-12 against the spread (ATS) while Indiana is 12-11 ATS.
Hawks at Pacers odds, spread and lines
- Money line: Hawks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Pacers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +1.5 (-110) | Pacers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Hawks at Pacers key injuries
- F Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) out
- F De'Andre Hunter (wrist) out
- G Cam Reddish (wrist) questionable
- G Justin Holiday (healthy and safety protocols) out
- C Myles Turner (non-covid illness) questionable
- F T.J. Warren (foot) out
Hawks at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Pacers 110, Hawks 106
BET on the PACERS (-120).
As noted, Indiana has been bad this season on the road but the Pacers have been good at home.
Also over 75% of the cash is on Atlanta yet this line hasn't budged per pregame.com. That's a good indicator that the books like their position with Atlanta (+100).
The Hawks have the 27th-best road defensive rating and the 20th-best net rating. Their struggles away from home are real, and without a key scorer in Bogdanovic and key defender in Hunter, it seems likely they struggle.
An advantage Indiana also has is on the glass.
The Pacers are seventh in offensive rebounding rate while Atlanta ranks 12th in defensive rebounding rate. With Turner questionable and potentially more probable if he feels better, Indiana could own the glass and the paint.
With all that in mind, I like the Pacers to win outright at home.
PASS on the spread. While the spread is just 1.5, I'd still look towards the money line for the value in this one.
"LEAN" to the UNDER 218.5 (-108).
Both teams have solid interior defenders, and both are at least capable on the defensive glass. Both of these teams also rank in the bottom half of the league in pace, making for a potentially slow game.
Atlanta also turns the ball over at the second-lowest rate, so it'll at least be able to use the clock and retain possession. Indiana ranks 19th in turnover rate.
Given the impact Turner (if he plays) and Clint Capela should have on this game, the Under feels like the better play.
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