Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder (6-15) travel to FedExForum Thursday to take on the Memphis Grizzlies (11-10). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Thunder are coming off a disappointing 114-110 loss Wednesday against the Houston Rockets in which they failed to cover as 2.5-point home favorites.
OKC is led by G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and has been a covering machine this season, 13-8 against the spread (ATS).
The Grizzlies have had similar success with a 12-9 ATS record. However, their leader G Ja Morant is out. The Grizzlies have picked up consecutive wins and enter Thursday as heavy home favorites despite his absence.
Thunder at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines
- Money line: Thunder +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Grizzlies -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +8.5 (-102) | Grizzlies -8.5 (-122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Thunder at Grizzlies key injuries
Thunder (not officially submitted)
- None expected that will affect gambling odds
- G Ja Morant (knee) out
- F Kyle Anderson (back) questionable
Thunder at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions
Grizzlies 107, Thunder 103
PASS on the money line. If there is a playable side, it's OKC at +300.
The Grizzlies' best player is out so OKC will have the best player on the court. That's note-worthy but it still likely won't result in a road victory for a six-win team.
BET on the THUNDER +8.5 (-102) as Memphis is worse than their record indicates.
The Grizzlies are over .500 yet have a minus-4.9 net rating. Defensively, they've been atrocious. They are amongst the worst teams in the league with 114.4 points allowed per game.
The Grizzlies offensive firepower also takes a hit with Morant not on the court. The Thunder will have the best player on the court with SGA averaging 21.2 points per game - he put up 39 on the Rockets in Wednesday's contest.
Guarding him is going to be a nightmare for Memphis. For those two reasons, I'm siding with the Thunder to cover here. The spread is just too much for a team missing its best player.
BET on the UNDER 212.5 (-112) as both teams rank outside the top ten in pace.
Furthermore and more importantly, the Thunder can rebound. OKC ranks fourth in defensive rebounding and that will be a huge plus for them against a Grizzlies team that attacks the offensive glass at the second-highest rate.
With OKC bottom of the league in true shooting percentage at 50.6%, they rely on their defensive play to stay in games. Their defense and rebounding should allow them to do just that.
Couple it with poor playmaking for Memphis and a weak defense, and the Under should be the better side of the total.
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