New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Skip Snow
Sportsbook Wire

The New York Yankees (50-18) and Tampa Bay Rays (37-31) put a cap on their 3-game AL East series at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla., with a Wednesday game at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Yankees vs. Raysodds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 6-3.

New York headed into this series ranked 1st in MLB in runs (5.15 per game) and runs allowed (2.98). Solid Rays pitching has held the Yankees to a .623 OPS in this series.

Tampa Bay's offense has not been sharp of late (.621 OPS since May 26). But the Rays were certainly buoyed by the performance of 1B Isaac Paredes in a 5-4 win Tuesday. Paredes became just the 6th player in franchise history to hit 3 home runs in a game.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Shane Baz

Montgomery (3-1, 2.72 ERA) owns a 0.95 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 72 2/3 IP across 13 starts.

  • Facing the Rays for the first time since Oct. 2 when they pounded him for 3 HR and 7 runs in just 2 2/3 IP.
  • Has yielded more than 2 runs in just 1 of his last 12 starts.

Baz (0-1, 5.40 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 8 1/3 IP.

  • Was solid in his 2nd start June 17 at Baltimore (6 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB and 7 K) after a rocky debut June 11 at Minnesota (2.1 IP, 5 R, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K).
  • Clocked a 2.03 ERA in 3 starts last season and is considered one of the top pitching prospects in baseball.

Yankees at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rays +120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (+122) | Rays +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 4

Money line

I'm not going to go all in with an untested pitcher like Baz on the bump, but consider a partial-unit play on TAMPA BAY (+120). The Rays are at their best against left-handers, and they are seeing one for a second straight game.

Montgomery has been aided by a .245 batting average on balls in play. Current Tampa bats own a robust .949 OPS against him.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rays have played a lot of close games of late. PASS on the current tag, but give Tampa Bay a look if the price gets to -145 or better.

Over/Under

New York's bullpen could run into some back-end fatigue. Montgomery is a fade candidate, and Baz is a question mark.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-105).

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